Publication:
Natural hazards, vulnerability and structural resilience: tsunamis and industrial tanks

Thumbnail Image
Files

Files

Natural hazards, vulnerability and structural resilience: tsunamis and industrial tanks.pdf (1.39 MB)
View Statistics
Reference Managers
Mendeley
Indexers
Google Scholar CORE
QR Code
QR Code
Authors

Authors

Mebarkia, Ahmed
Jerez Barbosa, Sandra Rocio
Prodhomme, Gaetan
Reimeringer, Mathieu
Abstract (Spanish)
El artículo presenta un marco integrado que aborda los peligros naturales (tsunamis), la modelización de la vulnerabilidad física, el riesgo de fallo de las estructuras industriales (estructuras metálicas) y la resistencia estructural que proporciona la adaptación plástica. Se proponen modelos simplificados para describir el run-up y la atenuación de la altura de las olas en caso de tsunami. Los resultados se calibran para los principales tsunamis de la región asiática. También se investiga la vulnerabilidad mecánica de tanques cilíndricos de metal erigidos cerca de la costa. A continuación se desarrollan curvas de fragilidad para describir el fallo multimodal: vuelco, rotura de anclajes y deslizamiento, flotación, efectos de flexión excesiva o pandeo. Se desarrollan las correspondientes curvas de fragilidad para diversas condiciones: alturas de las olas del tsunami, ratios de llenado del tanque y condiciones de servicio, fricción tanque/suelo, así como efectos dimensionales. Se presenta una descripción probabilística del peligro natural y de las curvas de fragilidad. También se realiza un análisis de sensibilidad para investigar el efecto de varios parámetros de gobierno. Además, se proponen conceptos y métricas de resiliencia. Se discute la descripción teórica de las funciones de daño y recuperación tras el desastre: adaptación plástica y atractores elásticos y plásticos.
Abstract (English)
The paper presents an integrated framework which deals with natural hazards (tsunamis), physical vulnerability modelling, risk of failure for industrial structures (metal structures) and structural resilience provided by plastic adaptation. Simplified models are proposed to describe the run-up and wave height attenuation in case of tsunamis. The results are calibrated in the case of important tsunamis having taken place in Asian region. The mechanical vulnerability of cylindrical metal tanks erected near the shoreline is also investigated. The fragility curves are then developed in order to describe the multimodal failure: overturning, rupture of anchorages and sliding, buoyancy, excessive bending effects or buckling. Corresponding fragility curves are developed under various conditions: height of tsunami waves, filling ratios and service conditions of the tanks, friction tank/ground as well as dimensions effects. Probabilistic description of the natural hazard and the fragility curves are presented. Sensitivity analysis is also performed in order to investigate the effect of various governing parameters. Furthermore, resilience concepts and metrics are proposed. Theoretical description of the damages and post-disaster recovery functions are discussed: plastic adaptation as well as elastic and plastic attractors.
Extent
14 páginas
URI: https://repositorio.escuelaing.edu.co/handle/001/1530
Collections

Collections

AM - Grupo de Investigación en Estructuras y Materiales
References

Abe K. 1993. Estimate of tsunami heights from earthquake magnitudes. Proceedings of the IUGG/IOC International Tsunami Symposium TSUNAMI'93; Wakayama, Japan.

Abe K. 1995. Modeling of the runup heights of the Hokkaido-Nansei-Oki tsunami of 12 July 1993. Pure Appl Geophys. 144:113–124.

Aldunce P, Beilin R, Howden M, Handmer J. 2015. Resilience for disaster risk management in a changing climate: practitioners’ frames and practices. Global Environ Change. 30:1–11.

Angeon V, Bates S. 2015. Reviewing composite vulnerability and resilience indexes: a sustainable approach and application. World Dev. 72:140–162.

Barker K, Ramirez-Marquez JE, Rocco CM. 2012. Resilience-based network component important measures. Reliab Eng Syst Safety. 117:89–97.

Bond A, Morrison-Saunders A, Gunn JAE, Pope J, Retief F. 2015. Managing uncertainty, ambiguity and ignorance in impact assessment by embedding evolutionary resilience, participatory modeling and adaptive management. J Environ Manag. 151:97–104.

Burwell D, Tolkova E, Chawla A. 2007. Diffusion and dispersion characterization of a numerical tsunami model. Ocean Model. 19:10–30.

Cardoso SR, Barbosa-Póvoa AP, Relvas S, Novais AQ. 2015. Resilience metrics in the assessment of complex supply-chains performance operating under demand uncertainty. Omega. 56:53–73.

Chen L, Rotter M. 2012. Buckling of anchored cylindrical shells of uniform thickness under wind load. Eng Struct. 41:199–208.

Cheung KF, Wei Y, Yamazaki Y, Yim SCS. 2011. Modeling of 500-year tsunamis for probabilitistic design of coastal infrastructures in the Pacific Northwest. Coastal Eng. 58:970–985.

Chopra SS, Khanna V. 2015. Interconnectedness and interdependencies of critical infrastructures in the US economy: implications for resilience. Physica A. 436:865–877.

Constantin A. 2009. On the relevance of soliton theory to tsunami modelling. Wave Motion. 46:420–426.

Demetracopoulos AC, Hadjitheodorou C, Antonopoulos JA. 1994. Statistical and numerical analysis of tsunami wave heights in confined waters. Ocean Eng. 21:629–643.

Dijkstra HA, Viebahn JP. 2015. Sensitivity and resilience of the climate system: a conditional nonlinear optimization approach. Commun Nonlinear Sci Numer Simulat. 22:13–22.

Dinh LTT, Pasman H, Gao X, Mannan MS. 2012. Resilience engineering of industrial processes: principles and contributing factors. J Loss Prev Proc Ind. 25:233–241.

Flouri ET, Kalligeris N, Alexandrakis G, Kampanis NA, Synolakis CE. 2013. Application of a finite difference computational model to the simulation of earthquake generated tsunamis. Appl Num Math. 67:111–125.

Francis R, Bekera B. 2014. A metric and framework for resilience analysis of engineered and infrastructure systems. Reliab Eng Sys Safety. 121:90–103.

GEBCO. 2012. General bathymetric chart of the oceans. Available 15/06/2012, from www.gebco.net.

Godoy LA. 2007. Performance of storage tanks in oil facilities damaged by Hurricanes Katrina and Rita. J Perform Constructed Facil. 21:441–449.

Goto K, Chagué-Goff C, Fujino S, Goff J, Jaffe B, Nishimura Y, Richmond B, Sugawara D, Szczucinski W, Tappin DR, et al. 2011. New insights of tsunami hazard from the 2011 Tohoku-oki event. Mar Geol. 290:46–50.

Goto Y. 2008. Tsunami damage to oil storage tanks. In The 14 World Conference on Earthquake Engineering; Beijing, China.

Haugen KB, Lovholt F, Harbitz CB. 2005. Fundamental mechanisms for tsunami generation by submarine mass flows in idealised geometries. Mar Pet. Geol. 22:209–217.

Heidarzadeh M, Pirooz MD, Zaker NH. 2009. Modeling of the near-field effects of the worst-case tsunami in the Makran subduction zone. Ocean Eng. 36:368–376.

Helal MA, Mehanna MS. 2008. Tsunamis from nature to physics. Chaos Solitons Fractals. 36:787–796.

Hollnagel E, Nemeth CP, Dekker S. 2008. Resilience engineering perspectives: remaining sensitive to the possibility of failure. Vol.1, Ashgate Studies in Resilience Engineering, Ashgate Publishing Limited. Burlington: Ashgate.

Hollnagel E, Pariès J, Woods DD, Wreathall J. 2011. Resilience engineering in practice: a guidebook. Ashgate Studies in Resilience Engineering, Ashgate Publishing Limited. Burlington: Ashgate.

Johnston MC, Porteous T, Crilly MA, Burton CD, Elliott A, Iversen L, McArdle K, Murray A, Phillips LH, Black C. 2008. Physical disease and resilient outcomes: a systematic review of resilience definitions and study methods. Psychosomatics. 56:168–180.

Kelman I, Gaillard JC, Mercer J. 2015. Climate change's role in disaster risk reduction's future: beyond vulnerability and resilience. Int J Disaster Risk Sci. 6:21–27.

Khalili S, Harre M, Morley P. 2015. A temporal framework of social resilience indicators of communities to flood, case studies: Wagga wagga and Kempsey, NSW, Australia. Int J Dis Risk Reduc. 13:48–254.

Koshimura S, Namegaya Y, Yanagisawa H. 2009. Tsunami fragility - a new measure to identify Tsunami damage. J Dis Res. 4:479–490.

Labaka L, Hernantes J, Sarriegi JM. 2015. Resilience framework for critical infrastructures: An empirical study in a nuclear plant. Reliab Eng Syst Safety. 141:92–105.

Leone F, Lavigne F, Paris R, Denain J-C, Vinet F. 2011. A spatial analysis of the December 26th, 2004 tsunami-induced damages: lessons learned for a better risk assessment integrating buildings vulnerability. Appl Geogr. 31:363–375.

Lindbom H, Tehler H, Eriksson K, Aven T. 2015. The capability concept – on how to define and describe capability in relation to risk, vulnerability and resilience. Reliab Eng Syst Safety. 135:45–54.

Liu PL-F, Wang X, Salisbury AJ. 2009. Tsunami hazard and early warning system in South China Sea. J Asian Earth Sci. 36:2–12.

Lovholt F, Glimsdal S, Harbitz CB, Zamora N, Nadim F, Peduzzi P, Dao H, Smebye H. 2012. Tsunami hazard and exposure on the global scale. Earth Sci Rev. 110:58–73.

Lukkunaprasit P, Thanasisathit N, Yeh H. 2009. Experimental verification of FEMA P646 Tsunami loading. J Disaster Res. 4:410–418.

Lundberg J, Johansson BJE. 2015. Systemic resilience model. Reliab. Eng Sys. Saf. 141:22–32.

Madsen PA. 2010. On the evolution and run-up of tsunamis. J Hydrodynamics. 22:1–6. doi:10.1016/S1001-6058(09)60160-8.

Manyena SB. 2014. Disaster resilience: a question of ‘multiple faces’ and ‘multiple spaces’? Int J Disaster Risk Reduct. 8:1–9.

Matthews EC, Sattler M, Friedland CJ. 2014. A critical analysis of hazard resilience measures within sustainability assessment frameworks. Env Impact Assess Rev. 49:59–69.

Mebarki A. 2009. A comparative study of different PGA attenuation and error models: case of 1999 Chi-Chi earthquake. Tectonophysics. 466:300–306.

Mebarki A, Barroca B. 2015. Resilience and vulnerability analysis for restoration after tsunamis and floods: the case of dwellings and industrial plants. In Santiago-Fandiño V et al. editors. Post-Tsunami hazard reconstruction and restoration. Advances in Natural and Technological Hazards Research, Springer (ISBN: 978-3-319-10201-6).

Mebarki A, Jerez S, Matasic I, Prodhomme G, Reimeringer M, Pensée V, Vu QA, Willot A. 2014a. Domino effects and industrial risks: integrated probabilistic framework – case of tsunamis effects. In Kontar YA et al., editors. Tsunami events and lessons learned : environnemental and societal significance. Advances in Natural and Technological Hazards Research 35, doi:10.1007/978-94-007-7269-4_15, Springer.

Mebarki A, Willot A, Jerez S, Reimeringer M, Prodhomme G. 2014b. Vulnerability and resilience under effects of tsunamis: case of industrial plants. Procedia Eng. 84:116–121.

Miller-Hooks E, Zhang X, Faturechi R. 2012. Measuring and maximizing resilience of freight transportation networks. Comput Oper Res. 39:1633–1643.

Mugume SN, Gomez DE, Fu G, Farmani R, Butler D. 2015. A global analysis approach for investigating structural resilience in urban drainage systems. Water Res. 81:15–26.

Naito C, Cox D, Yu Q, Brooker H. 2013. Fuel Storage Container Performance during the 2011 Tohoku Japan Tsunami. J Perform Constructed Facilities. 27:373–380.

Nandasena NAK, Paris R, Tanaka N. 2011. Reassessment of hydrodynamic equations: minimum flow velocity to initiate boulder transport by high energy events (storms, tsunamis). Mar. Geol. 281:70–84.

Nistor I, Palermo D, Nouri Y, Murty T, Saatcioglu M. 2010. Tsunami-Induced forces on structures. In: Kim YC, editor. Handbook of coastal and ocean engineering. Singapore: World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd.; p. 261–286.

Norio O, Ye T, Kajitani Y, Shi P, Tatano H. 2011. The 2011 Eastern Japan great earthquake disaster: overview and comments. Int J Disaster Risk Sci. 2:34–42.

Oken BS, Chamine I, Wakeland W. 2015. A systems approach to stress, stressors and resilience in humans. Behav Brain Rese. 282:144–154

Ouyang M, Wang Z. 2015. Resilience assessment of interdependent infrastructure systems: with a focus on joint restoration modeling and analysis. Reliab Eng Syst Safety. 141:74–82.

Pant R, Barker K, Ramirez-Marquez JE, Rocco CM. 2014. Stochastic measures of resilience and their application to container terminals. Comput Ind Eng. 70:183–194.

Pophet N, Kaewbanjak N, Asavanant J, Ioualalen M. 2011. High grid resolution and parallelized tsunami simulation with fully nonlinear Boussinesq equations. Comput Fluids. 40:258–268.

Righi AW, Saurin TA, Wachs P. 2015. A systematic literature review of resilience engineering: research areas and a research agenda proposal. Reliab Eng Syst Saf. 141:142–152.

Roege PE, Collier ZA, Mancillas J, McDonagh JA, Linkov I. 2014. Metrics for energy resilience. Energy Policy. 72:249–256.

Sahebjamnia N, Torabi SA, Mansouri SA. 2015. Integrated business continuity and disaster recovery planning: towards organizational resilience. Eur J Oper Res. 242:261–273.

Sakakiyama T, Matsuura S, Matsuyama M. 2009. Tsunami force acting on oil tanks and buckling analysis for Tsunami pressure. J Disaster Res. 4:427–435.

Shafieezadeh A, Burden LI. 2014. Scenario-based resilience assessment framework for critical infrastructure systems: case study for seismic resilience of seaports. Reliab Eng Syst Saf. 132:207–219.

Shirali GHA, Motamedzade M, Mohammadfam I, Ebrahimpour V, Moghimbeigi A. 2012. Challenges in building resilience engineering (RE) and adaptive capacity: a field study in chemical plant. Process Saf. Environ Prot. 90:83–90.

Stewart DE, Yuen T. 2011. A systematic review of resilience in the physically Ill. Psychosomatics. 52:199–209.

Wijetunge JJ. 2006. Tsunami on 26 December 2004: spatial distribution of tsunami height and the extent of inundation in Sri Lanka. SciTsunami Hazards. 24:225–240.

Zhang DH, Yip TL, Ng C-O. 2009. Predicting tsunami arrivals: estimates and policy implications. Mar Policy. 33:643–650.

Zhao BB, Duan WY, Webster WC. 2011. Tsunami simulation with Green-Naghdi theory. Ocean Eng. 3:389–296.